The Government of Ecuador has counted 21,446 deaths from Covid-19 and 9,351 probable deaths. However, a study carried out by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, together with the Tübingen University in Germany, showed that in Ecuador there are 64,000 people who died from the virus.
The data of the study exceeds 2.9 times the figures of the official data of the Ministry of Public Health (MSP), even if the probable deaths from Covid-19 were added, the study would exceed 2.1 times the government data.
The researchers created the World Mortality Database, where the largest amount of data on mortality in the world is present. The goal is to find out how many people actually died from Covid-19 in 103 countries.
Ecuador is second in the percentage excess of annual deaths. According to the study, an excess of more than 80% occurred in relation to subsequent years.
The study compared “expected deaths” with “excess deaths.” The first are deaths from various causes, such as: old age, illnesses, accidents, among others. The second are the probable number of deaths caused by Covid-19.
Ariel Karlinsky, from the Department of Economics at the Israeli University, stated:
“We collected data from 103 countries to answer a series of questions. We wanted to find out if the pandemic had caused excess deaths in the countries studied. “
Using mathematical calculations, the academics inferred the probable number of deaths in each of the countries analyzed.
The professor explained that the number of surpluses, compared to official data such as Bolivia, Ecuador, Mexico and Peru are lower, due to different factors such as poor data handling by governments or the concealment of real figures by decisions policies.
The German Dmtry Kobak, an academic at the University of Tübingen, stated about his study:
“Our results present a complete picture of the impact of Covid-19 and we hope that these findings and their methodology will lead to a better understanding of the pandemic and highlight the importance of open source and rapid dissemination of information.”
The complete study, which details mortality in the countries analyzed, is published in the journal E-life, in English: https://elifesciences.org/articles/69336
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