Expert points out that the virus could spread severely in these areas.
Santa Elena, Manabí, Bolívar, Cotopaxi, Chimborazo, Tungurahua, Cañar and Pichincha are the provinces that should continue with measures to restrict mobility and isolation due to the spread of the coronavirus.
According to Dr. Marcelo Aguilar, professor at the Central University of Ecuador and advisor to the Military Geographic Institute before the Emergency Operations Committee (COE), these areas of the country are the most vulnerable at this time due to the time and space of the virus’s behavior.
In the case of the Pichincha province, the city of Quito is a medium transmission area, but the disease is transmitted at a higher speed, since there is an ongoing epidemic.
Aguilar indicated that according to the behavior of the virus, the dispersal is directed to the north of Guayaquil, Santa Elena and Manabí, as well as to the central provinces of Bolívar, Chimborazo, Cañar, Tungurahua and Cotopaxi, so he did not rule out that these territories could transform into areas of explosive epidemics.
This statement was made after explaining that an explosion of the epidemic had already been registered in Guayaquil, Samborondón, Durán, Babahoyo and its peripheral area.
He added that in these circumstances there are also other sectors that must be taken into account, such as those where there are few cases.
He maintained that there are cantons, parishes or neighborhoods that are candidates to change color to go from the red light to the yellow light. But, in the cases of large cities such as Guayaquil and Quito, he proposed that epidemiological surveys be carried out that show that a significant number of the population is immunized.
One of its conclusions lies in the fact that the temporo-spatial behavior pattern of the virus is closely related to the mobility of people between cities.
According to information from the analysis presented by the expert, there would be 33 cantons that will achieve immunity rates.
He said that there are also cations in which the presence of the virus is low, but that are connected with others who have more cases, as well as those who have few cases of contagion that are linked to others that also have low rates and therefore they can access greater opportunities to get out of that situation.
Source: El Universo, social networks
Be the first to comment